SA Economy Experience Strong Surge with Growth in Third Quarter

By our Correspondent

Authorised news report says that despite a record load-shedding, South Africa’s economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter – avoiding a recession.

As indicated, the economy grew by 1.6% in the three months to end-September after shrinking by 0.7% in the second quarter, which was affected by the KwaZulu-Natal floods.

In this regard, a technical recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of a shrinking economy, but – despite load shedding during more than half of the days in the second quarter, as well as rocketing interest rates, and food and fuel prices – South Africa avoided this by growing in the third quarter.

Mainly, the 1.6% growth rate was much stronger than expected. The median forecast of economists polled by Bloomberg was for growth of 0.4%.

But quarterly real GDP – R1.16 trillion (at constant 2015 prices) – is now the highest it’s ever been, exceeding the previous peak of R1.15 trillion recorded in the fourth quarter of 2018, Stats SA said.
So, did the gross domestic product in the third quarter.

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Eight of South Africa’s ten industries grew between the second and the third quarter, with agriculture, forestry and fishing surging by more than 19%. “This was mainly associated with a rise in the production of field crops and horticulture products,” it was reported.

Hence, the finance, real estate and business services industry – the largest industry in SA – grew by almost 2%. The manufacturing industry grew by 1.5%, with seven of the ten manufacturing divisions reporting growth in the third quarter. Manufacturing of motor vehicles, parts and accessories and other transport equipment division made the largest contribution in the third quarter.
South African exports increased by 4.2% in the third quarter.

Meanwhile, the unadjusted real GDP for the first nine months of 2022 was 2.3% bigger than in the same period in 2021.


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