Former Kaduna State Governor, Nasir El-Rufai, has left the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) for the opposition Social Democratic Party (SDP), vowing to lead a coalition to unseat President Bola Tinubu in the 2027 elections. The Presidency and APC, however, have dismissed his move as politically inconsequential and driven by personal ambition rather than ideology.
El-Rufai announced his defection on Monday, citing “irreconcilable differences” with APC leadership. He accused the party of straying from its progressive ideals and failing to address internal issues. His resignation letter, posted on his X (formerly Twitter) account, highlighted his frustration with APC’s trajectory and his belief that SDP offers a better platform for his vision.
In response, Presidential aide Daniel Bwala dismissed El-Rufai’s defection, stating that while he has a constitutional right to switch parties, his political influence is overrated. The Kaduna APC Secretary, Yahaya Baba-Pate, also downplayed El-Rufai’s departure, asserting that the ruling party continues to grow and remains strong in the state.
El-Rufai’s Political Gambit: Will It Change 2027 Elections?
El-Rufai has been actively engaging with opposition figures, including former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and Labour Party candidate Peter Obi, in what appears to be a bid to unify anti-APC forces. At a recent democracy conference in Abuja, he urged opposition leaders to form a formidable coalition to challenge the ruling party.
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However, critics argue that his defection may not significantly alter the 2027 political landscape. Former Senator Shehu Sani dismissed the move, stating that El-Rufai no longer holds substantial political weight. Similarly, Salihu Lukman, a former APC strategist, described the defection as premature, suggesting that El-Rufai should have coordinated with other opposition figures before making his exit.
El-Rufai’s political history could also pose challenges. As one of the architects of APC’s victories in 2015, 2019, and 2023, his new alliance with the SDP might face skepticism. His critics within the APC argue that his departure is less about ideology and more about personal ambitions.
Can SDP Offer a Viable Alternative?
The Social Democratic Party (SDP), which gained momentum during the 1993 election won by Moshood Abiola, has struggled to regain national prominence. El-Rufai’s entry could inject new life into the party, but analysts believe that without a broad coalition, it may struggle to challenge APC’s dominance.
The next few months will be critical as El-Rufai works to bring other opposition leaders into SDP’s fold. Political analysts believe his success will depend on how well he can convince major players like Atiku, Obi, and Rabiu Kwankwaso to unite under a single platform.
Despite the political tensions, the APC remains confident. Kaduna APC leaders insist that Tinubu and Governor Uba Sani will retain power in 2027, citing increasing party membership.
